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Serie A · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Atalanta13th place
VEN 23%X 24%ATA 53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Atalanta lead by 214 rating points.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.7
Over 2.553%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Atalanta win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.31X24%4.19253%1.89
Double chance
1X47%2.13X277%1.301276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Atalanta1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Atalanta – Venezia12 October 20263-1
Atalanta – Venezia1 March 20250-0
Venezia – Atalanta20 October 20240-2
Venezia – Atalanta23 April 20221-3
Atalanta – Venezia30 November 20214-0