TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 17:30 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Monza16th place
FRO 53%X 24%MON 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Frosinone lead by 167 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Frosinone 2.0 points per game, Monza 0.6.
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Monza score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.5 – 1.7
Over 2.578%
Both teams score75%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X24%4.20223%4.30
Double chance
1X77%1.30X247%2.131276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.578%1.28Under 2.522%4.52BTTS yes75%1.34BTTS no25%3.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Monza2-1 probability 8.2%

Form

Compare →
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Monza – Frosinone19 May 20240-1
Frosinone – Monza6 January 20242-3