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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 28Sunday 14 March · 17:30 · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Lecce14th place
PAR 39%X 31%LEC 31%

Prediction

  • If Parma score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Lecce score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.0
Over 2.535%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Parma win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.60X31%3.26231%3.25
Double chance
1X69%1.44X261%1.631269%1.44
Goals
Over 2.535%2.88Under 2.565%1.53BTTS yes43%2.34BTTS no57%1.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Parma · Columns: Lecce1-1 probability 14.4%

Form

Compare →
ParmaWLLLD
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Lecce – Parma11 January 20261-2
Parma – Lecce4 October 20250-1
Parma – Lecce31 January 20251-3
Lecce – Parma21 September 20242-2