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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 17:30 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Parma18th place
BOL 58%X 26%PAR 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bologna lead by 137 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Bologna 2.4 points per game, Parma 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bologna 0.1, Parma -0.7.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.7
Over 2.541%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.73X26%3.87216%6.08
Double chance
1X84%1.20X242%2.361274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.541%2.46Under 2.559%1.68BTTS yes42%2.40BTTS no58%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Parma1-0 probability 15.0%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Bologna – Parma8 February 20260-1
Parma – Bologna2 November 20251-3
Parma – Bologna22 February 20252-0
Bologna – Parma6 October 20240-0