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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Venezia20th place
LEC 46%X 28%VEN 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lecce lead by 72 rating points.
  • If Lecce score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.540%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Lecce win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.16X28%3.54226%3.92
Double chance
1X74%1.34X254%1.861272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.540%2.52Under 2.560%1.66BTTS yes46%2.19BTTS no54%1.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Venezia1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Lecce23 August 20260-2
Lecce – Venezia6 April 20251-1
Venezia – Lecce25 November 20240-1