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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 17:30 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Inter2nd place
SAS 13%X 18%INT 70%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 277 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Sassuolo 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Sassuolo -0.3.
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 34% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.6
Over 2.571%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.99X18%5.58270%1.44
Double chance
1X30%3.29X287%1.141282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.571%1.41Under 2.529%3.46BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sassuolo · Columns: Inter1-2 probability 9.2%

Form

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Head to head

Sassuolo – Inter8 February 20260-5
Inter – Sassuolo21 September 20252-1
Sassuolo – Inter4 May 20241-0
Inter – Sassuolo27 September 20231-2
Inter – Sassuolo13 May 20234-2
Sassuolo – Inter8 October 20221-2