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Serie A · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Udinese19th place
MIL 64%X 22%UDI 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Milan lead by 191 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Milan 2.0 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Milan 0.5, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Milan score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.553%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.50214%7.27
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.781278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.553%1.87Under 2.547%2.15BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Milan · Columns: Udinese2-0 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →
MilanDWWLW
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Udinese – Milan25 October 20260-2
Milan – Udinese11 April 20260-3
Udinese – Milan20 September 20250-3
Udinese – Milan11 April 20250-4
Milan – Udinese19 October 20241-0
Udinese – Milan20 January 20242-3