TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Frosinone6th place
JUV 66%X 20%FRO 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Frosinone -0.4.
  • Juventus lead by 68 rating points.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.559%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.51X20%4.90213%7.48
Double chance
1X87%1.15X234%2.961280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.559%1.68Under 2.541%2.47BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Frosinone2-0 probability 11.0%

Head to head

Frosinone – Juventus23 August 20260-1
Juventus – Frosinone25 February 20243-2
Frosinone – Juventus23 December 20231-2