TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 17:30 · U-Power Stadium
Monza16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Torino10th place
MON 34%X 27%TOR 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Torino lead by 119 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Torino 1.8 points per game, Monza 0.6.
  • If Monza score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.95X27%3.70239%2.56
Double chance
1X61%1.64X266%1.511273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monza · Columns: Torino1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →
MonzaLWLLL
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Monza23 October 20263-2
Monza – Torino2 March 20250-2
Torino – Monza24 November 20241-1
Torino – Monza30 March 20241-0
Monza – Torino11 November 20231-1
Torino – Monza7 May 20231-1