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Serie A · Matchday 12Sunday 22 November · 17:00 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Udinese19th place
BOL 58%X 25%UDI 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Bologna 2.4 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • Bologna lead by 118 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bologna 0.1, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.549%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.72X25%4.06217%5.81
Double chance
1X83%1.21X242%2.391275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Udinese1-0 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Bologna – Udinese23 February 20261-0
Udinese – Bologna22 November 20250-3
Udinese – Bologna28 April 20250-0
Bologna – Udinese18 August 20241-1
Bologna – Udinese28 April 20241-1
Udinese – Bologna30 December 20233-0