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Serie A · Matchday 12Sunday 22 November · 14:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Frosinone6th place
MIL 62%X 21%FRO 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Milan lead by 94 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Milan 0.5, Frosinone -0.4.
  • If Milan score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.1
Over 2.567%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.60X21%4.66216%6.20
Double chance
1X84%1.19X238%2.661279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%3.01BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Milan · Columns: Frosinone2-1 probability 9.7%

Form

Compare →
MilanDWWLW

Head to head

Frosinone – Milan3 February 20242-3
Milan – Frosinone2 December 20233-1