TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 12Monday 23 November · 19:45 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Venezia20th place
JUV 76%X 17%VEN 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 256 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Venezia -0.6.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.5
Over 2.547%
Both teams score33%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
176%1.32X17%5.9627%13.51
Double chance
1X93%1.08X224%4.141283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes33%3.05BTTS no67%1.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Venezia2-0 probability 17.1%
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Juventus25 May 20252-3
Juventus – Venezia14 December 20242-2
Juventus – Venezia1 May 20222-1
Venezia – Juventus11 December 20211-1