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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 12Saturday 21 November · 19:45 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Torino10th place
NAP 63%X 23%TOR 14%

What does the market say?

NapoliDrawTorinoRinvalo63%23%14%
Market63%23%15%

✓ Agree · both back Napoli

Prediction

Key factors
  • Napoli lead by 124 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Napoli 0.5, Torino -0.3.
  • The market also backs the home side (63%).
  • If Napoli score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.8
Over 2.551%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.59X23%4.37214%7.01
Double chance
1X86%1.17X237%2.691277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.551%1.98Under 2.549%2.02BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Napoli · Columns: Torino2-0 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →
NapoliWLDWL
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Napoli – Torino6 March 20262-1
Torino – Napoli18 October 20251-0
Napoli – Torino27 April 20252-0
Torino – Napoli1 December 20240-1
Napoli – Torino8 March 20241-1
Torino – Napoli7 January 20243-0