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Serie A · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 17:30 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Venezia20th place
BOL 65%X 22%VEN 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bologna lead by 210 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Bologna 2.4 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bologna 0.1, Venezia -0.6.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.547%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.54X22%4.51213%7.78
Double chance
1X87%1.15X235%2.861278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes42%2.36BTTS no58%1.74

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Venezia1-0 probability 14.0%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Bologna29 March 20250-1
Bologna – Venezia30 November 20243-0
Venezia – Bologna8 May 20224-3
Bologna – Venezia21 November 20210-1