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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 17:30 · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Como4th place
PAR 15%X 22%COM 63%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 256 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Parma 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Parma -0.7.
  • If Parma score first, they win 45% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals0.7 – 1.8
Over 2.544%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
115%6.89X22%4.47263%1.59
Double chance
1X37%2.71X285%1.171278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.544%2.28Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes42%2.40BTTS no58%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Parma · Columns: Como0-1 probability 14.6%

Form

Compare →
ParmaWLLLD
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Como – Parma14 September 20262-1
Como – Parma17 May 20261-0
Parma – Como25 October 20250-0
Parma – Como3 May 20250-1
Como – Parma19 October 20241-1