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Serie A · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 17:30 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Genoa11th place
FRO 43%X 27%GEN 30%

Prediction

  • If Frosinone score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Genoa score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Frosinone win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X27%3.70230%3.36
Double chance
1X70%1.42X257%1.761273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.52

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Genoa1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Frosinone12 September 20261-1
Genoa – Frosinone30 March 20241-1
Frosinone – Genoa26 November 20232-1