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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1st place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Torino10th place
LAZ 60%X 24%TOR 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lazio lead by 163 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lazio 3.0 points per game, Torino 1.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lazio 0.5, Torino -0.3.
  • If Lazio score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.8
Over 2.550%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X24%4.17216%6.38
Double chance
1X84%1.19X240%2.521276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lazio · Columns: Torino1-0 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →
LazioWWWWW
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Lazio1 March 20262-0
Lazio – Torino4 October 20253-3
Lazio – Torino31 March 20251-1
Torino – Lazio29 September 20242-3
Torino – Lazio22 February 20240-2
Lazio – Torino27 September 20232-0