TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Lecce14th place
JUV 70%X 20%LEC 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 184 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Lecce -0.6.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Lecce score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.6
Over 2.546%
Both teams score38%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.43X20%5.00210%9.93
Double chance
1X90%1.11X230%3.321280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes38%2.64BTTS no62%1.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Lecce2-0 probability 15.3%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Lecce – Juventus25 October 20260-2
Lecce – Juventus9 May 20260-1
Juventus – Lecce3 January 20261-1
Juventus – Lecce12 April 20252-1
Lecce – Juventus1 December 20241-1
Lecce – Juventus21 January 20240-3