TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 31Sunday 11 April · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Monza16th place
UDI 45%X 27%MON 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Udinese lead by 71 rating points.
  • If Udinese score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Monza score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Udinese win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.21X27%3.73228%3.59
Double chance
1X72%1.39X255%1.831273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Monza1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

Compare →
UdineseLLLDL
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Monza – Udinese29 August 20262-3
Udinese – Monza11 May 20251-2
Monza – Udinese9 December 20241-2
Udinese – Monza3 February 20240-0
Monza – Udinese29 October 20231-1
Udinese – Monza8 April 20232-2