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Premier League · Matchday 16Saturday 19 December · 15:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Coventry City16th place
BOU 67%X 21%COV 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 147 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bournemouth 0.5, Coventry City -0.4.
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.48X21%4.84212%8.37
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%3.071279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Coventry City2-0 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Coventry City – Bournemouth18 April 20220-3
Bournemouth – Coventry City27 November 20212-2