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Premier League · Matchday 16Saturday 19 December · 15:00 · Elland Road
Leeds United11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Fulham15th place
LEE 41%X 29%FUL 29%

Prediction

  • If Leeds United score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.41X29%3.40229%3.43
Double chance
1X71%1.41X259%1.711271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.541%2.44Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leeds United · Columns: Fulham1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

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Head to head

Leeds United – Fulham17 January 20261-0
Fulham – Leeds United13 September 20251-0
Fulham – Leeds United22 April 20232-1
Leeds United – Fulham23 October 20222-3