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Premier League · Matchday 16Saturday 19 December · 15:00 · Etihad Stadium
Manchester City2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Hull City10th place
MCI 75%X 17%HUL 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester City lead by 231 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Manchester City 1.8 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Manchester City 0.6, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Manchester City score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 31% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.6
Over 2.554%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
175%1.33X17%5.9128%12.72
Double chance
1X92%1.09X225%4.041283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes40%2.50BTTS no60%1.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester City · Columns: Hull City2-0 probability 14.9%

Form

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