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Premier League · Matchday 16Saturday 19 December · 15:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Tottenham8th place
LIV 52%X 26%TOT 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 102 rating points.
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.554%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X26%3.80221%4.68
Double chance
1X79%1.27X248%2.101274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes55%1.80BTTS no45%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Liverpool – Tottenham15 March 20261-1
Tottenham – Liverpool20 December 20251-2
Liverpool – Tottenham27 April 20255-1
Tottenham – Liverpool22 December 20243-6
Liverpool – Tottenham5 May 20244-2
Tottenham – Liverpool30 September 20232-1