TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 16Saturday 19 December · 15:00 · American Express Stadium
Brighton3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Ipswich Town13th place
BHA 75%X 16%IPS 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 242 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Brighton 2.4 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • Brighton take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Brighton score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 28% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.8 – 0.9
Over 2.571%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
175%1.33X16%6.0928%11.85
Double chance
1X92%1.09X225%4.021284%1.20
Goals
Over 2.571%1.40Under 2.529%3.50BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brighton · Columns: Ipswich Town2-0 probability 9.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Ipswich Town – Brighton16 January 20250-2
Brighton – Ipswich Town14 September 20240-0