TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 14Saturday 5 December · 15:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Hull City10th place
BOU 65%X 22%HUL 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 116 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Bournemouth 1.8 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bournemouth 0.5, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X22%4.58213%7.72
Double chance
1X87%1.15X235%2.871278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.548%2.06Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes44%2.27BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Hull City2-0 probability 13.3%

Head to head

Bournemouth – Hull City22 January 20220-1
Hull City – Bournemouth28 August 20210-0