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Premier League · Matchday 14Saturday 5 December · 15:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Fulham15th place
EVE 40%X 30%FUL 31%

Prediction

  • If Everton score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.53X30%3.39231%3.23
Double chance
1X69%1.45X260%1.651271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.48Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Fulham1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →
EvertonDWDLL
FulhamDLWWD

Head to head

Fulham – Everton7 February 20261-2
Everton – Fulham8 November 20252-0
Fulham – Everton10 May 20251-3
Everton – Fulham26 October 20241-1
Fulham – Everton30 January 20240-0
Everton – Fulham12 August 20230-1