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Premier League · Matchday 14Saturday 5 December · 15:00 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Coventry City16th place
MUN 64%X 22%COV 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester United lead by 97 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Manchester United 0.1, Coventry City -0.4.
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.558%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X22%4.57214%6.99
Double chance
1X86%1.17X236%2.771278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Coventry City2-0 probability 10.9%

Form

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