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Premier League · Matchday 14Saturday 5 December · 15:00 · Elland Road
Leeds United12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Ipswich Town14th place
LEE 61%X 23%IPS 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Leeds United lead by 125 rating points.
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X23%4.31216%6.25
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.551277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leeds United · Columns: Ipswich Town1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Leeds United – Ipswich Town23 December 20234-0
Ipswich Town – Leeds United26 August 20233-4