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Premier League · Matchday 7Sunday 18 October · 14:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth7th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Sunderland20th place
BOU 50%X 27%SUN 23%

What does the market say?

BournemouthDrawSunderlandRinvalo50%27%23%
Market46%27%27%

✓ Agree · both back Bournemouth

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 69 rating points.
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.548%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.01X27%3.70223%4.32
Double chance
1X77%1.30X250%1.991273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Sunderland2-0 probability 9.4% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Bournemouth – Sunderland18 October 20262-0
Bournemouth – Sunderland28 February 20261-1
Sunderland – Bournemouth29 November 20253-2