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Premier League · Matchday 7Saturday 17 October · 15:00 · Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford6th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Liverpool5th place
BRE 37%X 28%LIV 35%

What does the market say?

BrentfordDrawLiverpoolRinvalo37%28%35%
Market40%26%34%

✓ Agree · both back Brentford

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Brentford score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.69X28%3.60235%2.85
Double chance
1X65%1.54X263%1.591272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brentford · Columns: Liverpool1-2 probability 8.2% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Brentford – Liverpool17 October 20261-2
Liverpool – Brentford24 May 20261-1
Brentford – Liverpool25 October 20253-2
Brentford – Liverpool18 January 20250-2
Liverpool – Brentford25 August 20242-0
Brentford – Liverpool17 February 20241-4