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Premier League · Matchday 7Monday 19 October · 20:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham9th place
Full time3-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Coventry City16th place
TOT 51%X 27%COV 23%

What does the market say?

TottenhamDrawCoventry CityRinvalo51%27%23%
Market64%21%15%

✓ Agree · both back Tottenham

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.545%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.98X27%3.73223%4.44
Double chance
1X77%1.29X249%2.031273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.545%2.22Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Coventry City3-1 probability 4.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Tottenham – Coventry City19 October 20263-1