TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 7Saturday 17 October · 15:00 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Exact score
Hull City10th place
FUL 48%X 28%HUL 24%

What does the market say?

FulhamDrawHull CityRinvalo48%28%24%
Market55%24%21%

✓ Agree · both back Fulham

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Fulham score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.539%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Fulham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.09X28%3.51224%4.22
Double chance
1X76%1.31X252%1.921272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.539%2.56Under 2.561%1.64BTTS yes45%2.25BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Hull City1-0 probability 13.6% · final score
FulhamDLWWD

Head to head

Fulham – Hull City17 October 20261-0
Hull City – Fulham12 February 20220-1
Fulham – Hull City21 August 20212-0