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Premier League · Matchday 11Monday 23 November · 20:00 · Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Everton14th place
BRE 47%X 28%EVE 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brentford lead by 67 rating points.
  • If Brentford score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.547%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.11X28%3.62225%4.01
Double chance
1X75%1.33X253%1.901272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brentford · Columns: Everton1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brentford – Everton11 April 20262-2
Everton – Brentford4 January 20262-4
Brentford – Everton26 February 20251-1
Everton – Brentford23 November 20240-0
Everton – Brentford27 April 20241-0
Brentford – Everton23 September 20231-3