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Premier League · Matchday 11Saturday 21 November · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Crystal Palace18th place
COV 37%X 28%CRY 34%

What does the market say?

Coventry CityDrawCrystal PalaceRinvalo37%28%34%
Market42%27%31%

✓ Agree · both back Coventry City

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Coventry City 1.8 points per game, Crystal Palace 0.8.
  • The market also backs the home side (42%).
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.549%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Coventry City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.68X28%3.51234%2.92
Double chance
1X66%1.52X263%1.601272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Market 55%Under 2.551%1.97Market 45%BTTS yes55%1.83Market 58%BTTS no45%2.20Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Crystal Palace1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

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