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Premier League · Matchday 11Sunday 22 November · 14:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Brighton3rd place
HUL 18%X 24%BHA 58%

What does the market say?

Hull CityDrawBrightonRinvalo18%24%58%
Market16%22%63%

✓ Agree · both back Brighton

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 164 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Brighton 2.4 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Brighton 0.2, Hull City -0.3.
  • The market also backs the away side (63%).
  • If Hull City score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.54X24%4.15258%1.73
Double chance
1X42%2.37X282%1.221276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.548%2.06Market 59%Under 2.552%1.94Market 41%BTTS yes49%2.06Market 53%BTTS no51%1.94Market 47%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Brighton0-1 probability 12.0%

Form

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