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Premier League · Matchday 33Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Fulham15th place
BRE 46%X 28%FUL 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brentford lead by 67 rating points.
  • If Brentford score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.548%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X28%3.58226%3.81
Double chance
1X74%1.36X254%1.841272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brentford · Columns: Fulham1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
FulhamDLWWD

Head to head

Brentford – Fulham18 April 20260-0
Fulham – Brentford20 September 20253-1
Brentford – Fulham18 May 20252-3
Fulham – Brentford4 November 20242-1
Brentford – Fulham4 May 20240-0
Fulham – Brentford19 August 20230-3