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Premier League · Matchday 33Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Brighton3rd place
EVE 27%X 27%BHA 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 128 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Brighton 2.4 points per game, Everton 1.0.
  • If Everton score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Brighton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.66X27%3.69246%2.19
Double chance
1X54%1.84X273%1.381273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Brighton1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
EvertonDWDLL

Head to head

Brighton – Everton31 January 20261-1
Everton – Brighton24 August 20252-0
Brighton – Everton25 January 20250-1
Everton – Brighton17 August 20240-3
Brighton – Everton24 February 20241-1
Everton – Brighton4 November 20231-1