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Premier League · Matchday 33Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Hull City11th place
TOT 54%X 26%HUL 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Tottenham 2.0 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Tottenham 0.2, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.85X26%3.84220%5.04
Double chance
1X80%1.25X246%2.181274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Hull City1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

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