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Premier League · Matchday 33Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Crystal Palace18th place
MUN 60%X 23%CRY 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester United lead by 95 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Manchester United 0.1, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.0
Over 2.556%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Manchester United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.68X23%4.27217%5.87
Double chance
1X83%1.21X240%2.471277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.556%1.80Under 2.544%2.25BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Crystal Palace1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Manchester United – Crystal Palace1 March 20262-1
Crystal Palace – Manchester United30 November 20251-2
Manchester United – Crystal Palace2 February 20250-2
Crystal Palace – Manchester United21 September 20240-0
Crystal Palace – Manchester United6 May 20244-0
Manchester United – Crystal Palace30 September 20230-1