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Premier League · Matchday 33Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · St James Park
Newcastle United13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Ipswich Town14th place
NEW 59%X 23%IPS 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Newcastle United lead by 111 rating points.
  • If Newcastle United score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.2
Over 2.567%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.70X23%4.29218%5.63
Double chance
1X82%1.22X241%2.441277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.534%2.99BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Newcastle United · Columns: Ipswich Town2-1 probability 9.7%

Form

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Head to head

Newcastle United – Ipswich Town26 April 20253-0
Ipswich Town – Newcastle United21 December 20240-4