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Premier League · Matchday 15Saturday 12 December · 15:00 · American Express Stadium
Brighton3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Everton7th place
BHA 57%X 25%EVE 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 115 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Brighton 2.4 points per game, Everton 1.4.
  • Brighton take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Brighton score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.76X25%3.98218%5.49
Double chance
1X82%1.22X243%2.311275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brighton · Columns: Everton1-0 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →
EvertonWDLLW

Head to head

Brighton – Everton31 January 20261-1
Everton – Brighton24 August 20252-0
Brighton – Everton25 January 20250-1
Everton – Brighton17 August 20240-3
Brighton – Everton24 February 20241-1
Everton – Brighton4 November 20231-1