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Premier League · Matchday 15Saturday 12 December · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Newcastle United12th place
IPS 28%X 25%NEW 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Newcastle United lead by 124 rating points.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Newcastle United score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.9
Over 2.566%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Newcastle United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.63X25%3.98247%2.11
Double chance
1X53%1.90X272%1.381275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Under 2.534%2.96BTTS yes67%1.50BTTS no33%2.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Newcastle United1-1 probability 10.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Newcastle United – Ipswich Town26 April 20253-0
Ipswich Town – Newcastle United21 December 20240-4