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Premier League · Matchday 15Saturday 12 December · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Newcastle United13th place
IPS 29%X 26%NEW 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Newcastle United lead by 111 rating points.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Newcastle United score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.9
Over 2.565%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Newcastle United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.44X26%3.91245%2.21
Double chance
1X55%1.83X271%1.411274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.86BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Newcastle United1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Newcastle United – Ipswich Town26 April 20253-0
Ipswich Town – Newcastle United21 December 20240-4