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Premier League · Matchday 15Saturday 12 December · 15:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Tottenham8th place
HUL 29%X 29%TOT 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Tottenham 2.0 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Tottenham 0.2, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.50X29%3.46243%2.35
Double chance
1X57%1.74X271%1.401271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.77BTTS yes50%2.02BTTS no50%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

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