TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 15Saturday 12 December · 15:00 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Brentford6th place
FUL 38%X 28%BRE 34%

Prediction

  • If Fulham score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Fulham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.66X28%3.52234%2.94
Double chance
1X66%1.51X262%1.601272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.547%2.11Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 13.5%
FulhamDLWWD

Head to head

Brentford – Fulham18 April 20260-0
Fulham – Brentford20 September 20253-1
Brentford – Fulham18 May 20252-3
Fulham – Brentford4 November 20242-1
Brentford – Fulham4 May 20240-0
Fulham – Brentford19 August 20230-3