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Picks
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Serie A · Matchday 8Saturday 24 October · 14:00 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Full time0-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Bologna9th place
CAG 34%X 30%BOL 36%

What does the market say?

CagliariDrawBolognaRinvalo34%30%36%
Market31%31%39%

✓ Agree · both back Bologna

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Bologna take 2.0 points per game away.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bologna 0.2, Cagliari -0.3.
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.97X30%3.33236%2.76
Double chance
1X64%1.57X266%1.511270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.540%2.49Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Bologna0-2 probability 7.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Cagliari – Bologna24 October 20260-2
Bologna – Cagliari3 May 20260-0
Cagliari – Bologna19 October 20250-2
Bologna – Cagliari2 March 20252-1
Cagliari – Bologna29 October 20240-2
Cagliari – Bologna14 January 20242-1