TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 8Saturday 24 October · 14:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Exact score
Sassuolo15th place
COM 63%X 22%SAS 15%

What does the market say?

ComoDrawSassuoloRinvalo63%22%15%
Market63%20%16%

✓ Agree · both back Como

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Como lead by 139 rating points.
  • Como take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Como score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.555%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.59X22%4.45215%6.80
Double chance
1X85%1.17X237%2.691278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Sassuolo2-0 probability 11.2% · final score
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Como – Sassuolo24 October 20262-0
Sassuolo – Como17 April 20262-1
Como – Sassuolo28 November 20252-0