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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 17:00 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Full time0-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Juventus7th place
LEC 13%X 21%JUV 66%

What does the market say?

LecceDrawJuventusRinvalo13%21%66%
Market13%22%66%

✓ Agree · both back Juventus

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 181 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 1.0, Lecce -0.7.
  • Last 5 games: Juventus 2.0 points per game, Lecce 1.2.
  • If Lecce score first, they win 42% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.7 – 1.8
Over 2.546%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.54X21%4.77266%1.52
Double chance
1X34%2.92X287%1.151279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes41%2.42BTTS no59%1.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Juventus0-2 probability 13.9% · final score

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Lecce – Juventus25 October 20260-2
Lecce – Juventus9 May 20260-1
Juventus – Lecce3 January 20261-1
Juventus – Lecce12 April 20252-1
Lecce – Juventus1 December 20241-1
Lecce – Juventus21 January 20240-3