TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 8Friday 23 October · 19:45 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Full time3-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Monza16th place
TOR 46%X 28%MON 26%

What does the market say?

TorinoDrawMonzaRinvalo46%28%26%
Market45%27%28%

✓ Agree · both back Torino

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Torino lead by 111 rating points.
  • If Torino score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Monza score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.17X28%3.61226%3.82
Double chance
1X74%1.35X254%1.861272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.09BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Monza3-2 probability 2.9% · final score

Form

Compare →
TorinoWWWLL
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Torino – Monza23 October 20263-2
Monza – Torino2 March 20250-2
Torino – Monza24 November 20241-1
Torino – Monza30 March 20241-0
Monza – Torino11 November 20231-1
Torino – Monza7 May 20231-1