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Serie A · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 11:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Fiorentina17th place
INT 75%X 17%FIO 8%

What does the market say?

InterDrawFiorentinaRinvalo75%17%8%
Market70%18%12%

✓ Agree · both back Inter

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Inter lead by 242 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.6 points per game, Fiorentina 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.1, Fiorentina -0.2.
  • If Inter score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 29% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.8
Over 2.568%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
175%1.33X17%5.9828%12.18
Double chance
1X92%1.09X225%4.011283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.568%1.47Under 2.532%3.11BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Fiorentina2-1 probability 9.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Inter – Fiorentina25 October 20262-1
Fiorentina – Inter22 March 20261-1
Inter – Fiorentina29 October 20253-0
Inter – Fiorentina10 February 20252-1
Fiorentina – Inter6 February 20253-0
Fiorentina – Inter28 January 20240-1