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Serie A · Matchday 8Sunday 25 October · 19:45 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Full time0-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Milan5th place
UDI 31%X 28%MIL 41%

What does the market say?

UdineseDrawMilanRinvalo31%28%41%
Market19%25%56%

✓ Agree · both back Milan

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Milan lead by 109 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Milan 2.2 points per game, Udinese 0.8.
  • If Udinese score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Milan score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.548%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Milan win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.20X28%3.57241%2.45
Double chance
1X59%1.69X269%1.451272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Milan0-2 probability 7.3% · final score

Form

Compare →
UdineseLLLDL
MilanDWWLW

Head to head

Udinese – Milan25 October 20260-2
Milan – Udinese11 April 20260-3
Udinese – Milan20 September 20250-3
Udinese – Milan11 April 20250-4
Milan – Udinese19 October 20241-0
Udinese – Milan20 January 20242-3